Month: February 2013

  • Lighthouse Macro Report – January 2013

    Summary: The LRPI (Lighthouse Recession Probability Indicator) continues to indicate a one-in-nine likelihood for the US economy being in a recession. The implied recession probability remained at 11% in December compared to November. For January, data available so far include a final reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (73.8, up from 72.9 in…

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