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European car engine stuttering
According to data released by ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association) new passenger car registrations fell 8.9% in August after a decline of 7.8% in July. European car markets are quite diverse; it makes more sense to look at them individually: The PIIGS are firmly in control of the bottom (what’s up with those Nordics, Sweden…
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“Who moved my recession?”
Lakshman Achutan, ECRI (Economic Cycle Research Institute) made a recession call for the US on September 30, 2011 (and confirmed it multiple times since then). Gary Shilling, titling his August letter “Global Recession”, says “We are already in a global recession.” However, equity markets don’t think so, with the S&P 500 trading less than 10%…
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Analyze this: The Fed is not printing enough money!
Before you trash me in the comments, hear me out. It started off with Ray Dalio’s “beautiful deleveraging”, which inspired this post. Since the financial crisis, the Fed has increased its balance sheet from $900 billion to $2.9 trillion (red line in below chart). The difference is $2 trillion (or 13% of GDP). When the…
